Analysis of Potential Development Scenarios for Bolivia’s Vehicle Fleet and its Greenhouse Gas Emissions using the LEAP Software for the 2020–2030 Period
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.52428/20758944.v21i57.1334Keywords:
LEAP, emissions, CO2eq, vehicle fleet, Bolivia, scenariosAbstract
This study analyzes the contribution of the Bolivian vehicle fleet to greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions for the period 2020-2030, through scenario modeling in the LEAP platform. The vehicle fleet was characterized using a bottom-up methodology, processing the information in consumption, performance and mileage matrices. A base scenario (Business As Usual, BAU) and three alternative scenarios were established: vehicle efficiency, telework and electromobility. The results show that electromobility would allow a 9% reduction in emissions by 2030, efficiency by 4% and telework by 2%. It was found that private vehicles, especially heavy vehicles, are the biggest emitters. This work seeks to serve as technical input for the design of public policies to reduce emissions in the transportation sector.
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